I hate to say this but we are turning into a dying breed. There is no one left to watch Sci-Fi as we have all died off. What the kids see in the movies is not sci-fi but moving comics. There appears to be nothing in common between the two genres except for the shiny new props that the special effects people like to use.
Primeval is a special case as it was not shown on the main TV network CTV, with very little outside advertising that I noticed, along with the grinding gears that the first few shows produced it was unfortunately destined to almost fail from the beginning.
As Showcase and SyFy have developed some sort of incestuous relationship in the last few years. I can see that becoming more intertwined if Primeval has a successful run outside of the Canadian market. Would there be an opportunity for one of CTV's main competitors to poke them in the eye if they gave it a go and did a successful re-boot of Primeval with SyFys assistance? Now that would be rich if they could pull it off.
So far, the same people who are making Continuum were supposed to be making a pilot called High Moon for SyFy. As far as I know that project must of slipped out of Vancouver or has found itself hiding in a paper basket somewhere.
Sci-Fi on TV is deeply in trouble with no one willing to go and seek it out. If there is no word of mouth, or FaceBook, or Twitter then things just don't make it anymore.
I think you may have nailed it here, Gate_Boarder! We
are a dying breed. This same thing happened to the westerns genre. At one time, the westerns genre defined successful broadcast television in a very big way. The popular heroes were from westerns, the action and battles were in westerns, the romance and drama were in westerns. Then the 1960s and early 1970s gave way to cop dramas, cop shows, etc. The dying of westerns came because the audience (as you said) became a dying breed. Those people are now in their 70s and 80s.
I think that science fiction (as we know it) is a passing genre. Yes, we will have it happening on the big screen and we will continue to see some scifi shows come out for cable, but they will be hybrid shows which lean heavily towards drama or we will see elements of other genres within them. Drama, unlike all other genres, seems to be impervious to death. It is the most closely related to the way all people live their real lives and it can tell stories which are firmly anchored in the familiar.
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Why? Because people are watching more media on their mobile devices and tablets and internet connected TV sets than are renting DVDs. Evidence of this is the steady and rapid decline of Video Rental stores. Besides Redbox and Netflix DVD, you do not really have a growing market for them in the US and countries like Japan and China and the EU. New laptops and ultrabooks are being designed without DVD drives at all. This is very apparent in the US. DVDs are made from fossil fuels, they are not "green". They are easily degraded by scratches and breakage.
OK, if that is so ameniable, why instead of buying the DVD's for your shows or renting them on a pay per watch basis do you have them all downloaded?
And how much are you prepared to pay per episode? It would take 4 million viewers 6 dollars per ep to pay for a standard ep of a scifi show, and before you say 4 mill is not hard across the world, that won't work because whatever local classification group will delay it for review, giving people a chance to copy and distribute it anyway.
Nah, the high cost of these shows does not come from their production as much as it comes from having to pay Union wage to actors (THE biggest cost by far), renting large studios, building sets, shooting on location...oh, and did I mention the ultra high Union wage costs? We have seen shows which eliminate much of this and use CGI sets. Even with real sets, the cost of production could be cut in half if actors were not members of the Union (and get high wages as a result). Then there is the cost of distribution. The internet as a distribution conduit cuts out DVD manufacturers/suppliers, eliminates warehousing and printing costs and distribution to retail outlets. Im thinking more like $2.00 to $5.00 per episode, which is the range you find on Amazon Prime. As an example, each episode of SGU cost 2 million to make. If the same 1 million viewers it once had would pay $2.00 per episode, that is the 2 million right there.
And when that time comes,
will you be prepared to pay 30 bucks to watch a movie at home, because I don't think the studio's will accept less money than they are getting now
The movie theaters are the ones making the most money on theatrical releases, not the studios. Cutting out the theater would bring the cost of seeing first run movies to around $5.00 per movie. At $10.00 per streamed first run movie, the studios would still be making a fortune.
Prove this market exists, because I honestly cannot see it happening.
The existence of Netflix, Hulu+ and Amazon Prime is the proof. And it is Amazon Prime and Netflix who have outrun Hulu+ and the online versions of cable channels (available to subscribers to cable only) because people just do not like commercials. Sure, people will TOLERATE them if they like the shows they are watching, but tolerance is the highest level of acceptance for them. Many like myself have a strong aversion to them and will not watch them under any circumstances unless by choice...there are some cool commercials which come out sometimes.
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